Applied Political Analysis

 

Invisible College 2002-2003

Lecturer Aurelian Muntean

 

Goals:

This course aims to explore the strengths and limitations of quantitative empirical analysis. At the same time it serves as a starting point for advanced topics in quantitative research methods. The course will help students to learn the basic skills for becoming not only a consumer but also a competent producer of basic statistical research. In the first part of this course we will use academic texts in order to reveal the hard and weak points of quantitative empirical analysis. In the second part of the course we will cover basic quantitative methods needed for producing high-quality analysis both for political scientists and policy analysts.

As well, in the second part we will employ statistical programs, such as SPSS and AMOS, in order have a better understanding of the methods, to be able to replicate analyses and to conduct your own studies.

For those interested in more in-depth insight, further readings are available for from my personal collections.

 

Requirements:

The students are required to produce a final paper using the covered empirical quantitative methods (A), to actively contribute to the discussions about the mandatory readings (B) and to pass one mid-term quiz, on short-answer format (C). 50% of the final grade will depend on (A), 20 % on (B) and 30% on (C).

 

Topics and Readings:

 

1.      The logic of quantitative and qualitative studies

Mandatory reading:

King, Gary, Robert Keohane and Sidney Verba. 2000. Fundamentele Cercetarii Sociale [Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific Inference in Qualitative Research (Princeton: Princeton UP, 1994] Chapters. 1-3. Bucharest: Polirom.

Further readings:

Discussion in ASPR vol. 89, no. 2.

 

2.      Hypotheses, concepts, variables

Mandatory readings:

Rotariu, Traian, Gabriel Badescu et all. 1999. Metode Statistice Aplicate in Stiintele Sociale. Iasi: Polirom. Chapter 2.

Reread King, Gary, Robert Keohane and Sidney Verba. 2000. Fundamentele Cercetarii Sociale [Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific Inference in Qualitative Research (Princeton: Princeton UP, 1994] Chapters. 1-3. Iasi: Polirom.

Further reading:

Hoover, Kenneth R. 1992. The Elements of Social Scientific Thinking. Fifth Edition. New York: St. Martin’s Press. Chapter 4. 63-87.

 

3.      Levels of measurement, experiment, quasiexperiment

Mandatory readings:

Rotariu, Traian, Gabriel Badescu et all. 1999. Metode Statistice Aplicate in Stiintele Sociale. Iasi: Polirom. 23-29.

Rotariu, Traian and Petru Ilut. 1997. Ancheta Sociologica si Sondajul de Opinie. Iasi: Polirom. 20-33.

 

4.      Univariate analysis (SPSS)

Mandatory readings:

Rotariu, Traian, Gabriel Badescu et all. 1999. Metode Statistice Aplicate in Stiintele Sociale. Iasi: Polirom. Chapter 3.

Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1995. Data Analysis. An Introduction. Quantitative applications in the social sciences 103. Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications. 1-18.

 

5.      Bivariate analysis (SPSS)

Mandatory readings:

Hamilton, Lawrence C. 1992. Regression with Graphics. Belmont, CA: Duxbury Press. 29-59.

Rotariu, Traian, Gabriel Badescu et all. 1999. Metode Statistice Aplicate in Stiintele Sociale. Iasi: Polirom. 119-185.

Further reading:

Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1995. Data Analysis. An Introduction. Quantitative applications in the social sciences 103. Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications. 19-53.

 

6.      Multivariate analysis. Logistic Regresion (SPSS)

Mandatory reading:

Pampel, Fred C. 2000. Logistic Regression. A Primer. Quantitative applications in the social sciences 103. Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications. 1-39.

Further reading:

Tabachnick, Barbara G and Linda S. Fidell. 1996. Using Multivariate Statistics. Third Edition. New York: HarperCollins. 575-609.

 

7.      Graphical representation in political science for univariate and bivariate data (SPSS and AMOS)

Mandatory reading:

Jacoby, William. 1997. Statistical Graphics for Univariate and Bivariate Data. Quantitative applications in the social sciences 117. Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications. 1-90.

 

8.      The goals of political research

Mandatory reading:

Ragin, Charles C. 1994. Constructing Social Research: The Unity and Diversity of Method. Thousand Oaks, CA: Pine Forge Press, 31-53.

 

9.        Exploration of cross-national variance and correlation

Mandatory readings:

Horowitz, Donald L. 1994. "Democracy in Divided Societies." in Nationalism, Ethnic Conflict, and Democracy, ed. by Larry Diamond and Marc F. Plattner. Baltimore, MD: The Johns Hopkins University Press. 35-55.

Safran, William 1997. "Citizenship and Nationality in Democratic Systems: Approaches to Defining and Acquiring Membership in the Political Community." International Political Science Review 18: 313-35.

 

10.  Case studies with comparative referents

Mandatory readings:

Lijphart, Arend 1989. "From the Politics of Accommodation to Adversarial Politics in the Netherlands: A Re-Assessment." West European Politics 12 (1): 139-53.

Deschouwer, Kris 1999. "From Consociation to Federation: How the Belgian Parties Won." in Party Elites in Divided Societies: Political Parties in Consociational Democracy, ed. by K. R. Luther and Kris Deschouwer. London: Routledge, 74-107.

 

11.  The logic of quantitative analyses and the degree of freedom problem

Mandatory reading:

Putnam, Robert D., with Roberto Leonardi and Raffaella Y. Nanetti 1993. Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 63-120.

 

12.  The importance of specifying the micro-logic behind the relationship between macro-variables

Mandatory readings:

Blais, André, and Louis Massicote 1996. "Electoral Systems." in Comparing Democracies: Elections and Voting in a Global Perspective, ed. by Lawrence LeDuc, Richard Niemi, and Pippa Norris. London: Sage, 49-81.

Mainwaring, Scott 1998. "Party Systems in the Third Wave." Journal of Democracy 9 (3): 67-81.